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Article from SFGate.

“Microsoft Corp. and Facebook Inc., the onetime technology king and the claimant to the throne, are forming an increasingly unified front in the battle for industry supremacy against Google Inc.

The software and social-networking giants have announced a series of partnerships in recent months, including the integration of Facebook user data into Microsoft’s Bing search engine results and the use of its Office applications in the Palo Alto company’s planned communications service.

No single initiative announced so far represents a clear game changer, analysts say. But the Redmond, Wash., software company lends some hefty industry support to a Facebook vision of the Internet that’s far different from the one that fostered Google’s rise, some argue.

‘Substantial threat’

“When you add all of these (collaborations) up – and there seem to be more of them every week – then it really is a very substantial threat to Google,” said Ray Valdes, an analyst with Gartner Inc.

He and others believe that cues in social networks, like a friend’s links and “likes,” are becoming increasingly important guides to the Internet experience, which could over time undermine the importance of the online searches that Google has long dominated. If so, it might become increasingly difficult for Google to sustain the growth in its core business and it could give Bing a powerful advantage, because its search results now incorporate friends’ preferences.

But, of course, those are all big ifs, mights and coulds.

For one, it assumes that Google won’t develop its own social capabilities – an effort it’s known to be pouring resources into after several whiffs – or strike a similar deal with Facebook. It’s unclear whether Google would want a partnership that would grant its competitor so much credence, or whether the Bing relationship is an exclusive one. Microsoft referred the question to Facebook, which didn’t respond to an inquiry from The Chronicle.

It’s also notable that even with the spectacular rise of Facebook, marked by a six-year sprint to more than 500 million users, Google’s advertising revenue from keyword searches continues to swell. Meanwhile, the Mountain View search behemoth is demonstrating an ability to generate money outside its core business, saying during a third-quarter conference call that display advertising and mobile revenue reached $2.5 billion and $1 billion, respectively, on an annualized basis.

“As the Web evolves – from mobile to video to display ads to cloud computing – our business grows with it, and the results speak for themselves,” a Google spokesman said.

Different philosophy

Google has stressed that its philosophical approach to technology differs fundamentally from those of key competitors, dubbing theirs an open system that allows users to control their information and other companies to adapt the software as they see fit. By extension, it has suggested or stated that companies like Facebook, Microsoft and Apple Inc. generally operate closed systems that tightly control user data and experiences.

“I worry … that the business structures are causing (companies) to keep too much private information,” Google Chief Executive Eric Schmidt said during an interview at the Web 2.0 Summit in San Francisco this week. “We’ve taken the position that user data is the user’s, and it should be possible for them to move it back and forth.”

Open, closed systems

There’s ample debate, however, over the appropriate definitions of open and closed systems, and whether Google sometimes acts like the latter when it fits its interests. Moreover, as Apple CEO Steve Jobs said last month, when discussing the highly popular and tightly integrated iPhone, closed systems sometimes win.

“The link between (Facebook and Microsoft), especially across applications and communications, can be a very powerful partnership,” said Tim Bajarin, president of Creative Strategies Inc. in Campbell.”

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Article from SFGate.

“If Facebook were a country, it would be the third largest in the world, so it figures that the social networking giant is trying to develop its own currency – Facebook Credits. Already, those credits can buy virtual goods from more than 200 applications on the Facebook platform, like special crop seeds or enhanced tractors in the otherwise free-to-play social game FarmVille. But credits have moved into the physical world as well. Last week, Safeway Stores joined Target, Best Buy and Walmart in selling Facebook Credit gift cards, just in time for them to become a stocking stuffer for the onrushing holiday shopping season. “We want Facebook Credits to be the virtual currency on Facebook,” said product marketing manager Deborah Liu for the Palo Alto firm. Analysts say Facebook Credits also have the potential to become a universal online currency that crosses both applications and country borders, not to mention a multibillion-dollar revenue source for Facebook, which takes a 30 percent cut of each transaction. Credits, for example, could be the future currency used by publishers of digital content like news and video, said analyst Atul Bagga of the investment research firm Think Equity LLC. For now, “Facebook is only taking baby steps,” Bagga said. “But you can see that Facebook Credits can go far.”

Positioned to win

Indeed, online payment systems are a key component of the main theme for the Web 2.0 Summit that begins today at the Palace Hotel in San Francisco. The convention will focus on “a battle to gain the upper hand in crucial ‘points of control’ across the Internet Economy,” entrepreneur and tech journalist John Battelle wrote earlier this year in a blog post setting up the theme for this year’s conference. And with more than 500 million active members, Facebook is already positioned to become a winner in that battle. “As Facebook Credits increases in usage, Facebook will begin to look and feel like its own economy,” said Augie Ray, a senior analyst at Forrester Research Inc. The privately held Facebook isn’t disclosing how many of its members now use Facebook Credits, which grew out of a Gift Shop feature that closed Aug. 1. Earlier this month, Wedbush Securities projected Facebook will generate more than $1 billion in sales from virtual goods this year, and approach $2 billion next year. Currently, there are more than 200 games and applications from 75 developers that accept Facebook Credits for those virtual goods, including 22 of the 25 most popular social games. On Nov. 2, Facebook signed a five-year deal with Redwood City video game giant Electronic Arts to use Facebook Credits as its exclusive payment method for its social games, such as Pet Society, Restaurant City and FIFA Superstars. That followed a similar deal earlier this year with San Francisco’s Zynga Game Network Inc., maker of popular social games like FarmVille. But there are non-game apps, such as Family Tree and Hallmark Social Calendar, that also accept Facebook Credits for virtual gifts such as digital birthday cards. And charitable organizations like Stand Up to Cancer and the anti-malaria Nothing But Nets have accepted Facebook Credits donations. The payment system could become especially important since Facebook is also pushing its Connect program to directly bridge the social network’s members with millions of other websites.

Making it easy

The system works in a way that’s similar to real-world transactions such as using a BART transit card. Facebook members use a regular credit card, PayPal account or mobile phone account to buy a certain value of Facebook Credits, starting with 15 credits for $1.50. Facebook Credits accepts payments using 15 currencies, including dollars, euros and yen. Like BART cards, which deduct fares based on the distance of travel on the system, a Facebook Credits account is charged for the value of a virtual item that in real currency might cost only a few cents each. It’s the basic concept used by Apple Inc. to sell 99-cent songs on iTunes at a time when downloading songs for free was all the rage, said Alex Rampell, chief executive officer of Trial Pay Inc. “How did Apple get everybody to pay? They just made it very easy,” said Rampell, whose Mountain View company offers an advertising system that entices social game players to try a real product like pizza or cosmetics in exchange for Facebook Credits. Indeed, Facebook’s Liu said the company sees a “sweet spot” for making a frictionless micro-payment system. The company is slowly expanding its list of developers who can “just plug into Facebook Credits” and not have to worry about creating their own payment system, she said. Social gaming is just the first industry to be affected, “but we think a number of verticals will break through,” Liu said.

Potential markets

Airline tickets or other big-ticket purchases may not be practical for Facebook Credits. But news site publishers, for example, could use Facebook Credits to get readers to buy access to an important story or a special video, Bagga said. “And music is a very social phenomenon,” he said. “There are so many industries that can have disruptions due to the social networking phenomenon.” Facebook, however, is based on the proposition that members make the network work by sharing their personal information, so it has also sparked numerous controversies over privacy. Facebook Credits might bring even more scrutiny. “As Facebook becomes a bigger part of the user’s shopping and purchasing activities as well as an even greater part of their communications activities, there’s going to be a greater focus on the part of government as to what Facebook is doing,” Ray said. Read more here

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Article from SFGate.

“Oracle Corp., the world’s second-largest softwaremaker, agreed to buy Art Technology Group Inc. for about $1 billion in cash to add e-commerce programs.

Art Technology investors will receive $6 per share, Oracle said in a statement Tuesday. That’s 46 percent more than the company’s closing price Monday.

Oracle, building on a run of more than 65 acquisitions during the past five years, is looking to purchase makers of industry-specific software, Chief Executive Officer Larry Ellison said in September. Art Technology of Cambridge, Mass., provides companies such as retailers with technology for online merchandising, marketing, automated recommendations and live-help services.

Oracle, which trails Microsoft Corp. in software sales, had $23.6 billion in cash and short-term investments as of Aug. 31, the end of its fiscal first quarter. Art Technology is the ninth acquisition Oracle has announced in 2010.

The deal price is 33 times earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization, compared with the median multiple of 17 times EBITDA for similar deals in the past six years, according to Bloomberg data.

Art filed for its initial public offering in May 1999, as investors backed startups in the growing market of Internet advertising. Its shares hit a high of $122 in July 2000. Less than a year later, the dot-com bubble burst and the company faced four consecutive years of sales declines through 2004. Its shares plummeted 95 percent in that time period.

Oracle, along with competitors Hewlett-Packard Co. and IBM Corp., are acquiring companies as they bolster their offerings of corporate software and technology within data centers. HP has announced eight deals so far this year, and IBM has announced 15.

This year, Oracle completed its purchase of Sun Microsystems Inc. for $7.4 billion, positioning itself to compete against HP and IBM in the server-computer market. Ellison said in September he’s also on the hunt to purchase semiconductor companies, aiming to follow the approach of Apple Inc. by owning more of the intellectual property behind computer chips.”

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Article from SF Gate.

“Intel Corp., the world’s biggest chipmaker, said it will spend between $6 billion and $8 billion on U.S. factory upgrades, spurring the creation of 800 to 1,000 manufacturing jobs.

Two plants in Chandler, Ariz., and two in Hillsboro, Ore., will be renovated, and a new research and development facility will be built, Intel said Tuesday in a statement. The plans will also create as many as 8,000 construction jobs, the company said. The initiative will be carried out over “several years,” Intel spokesman Tom Beermann said in an e-mail. The Oregon plant is to open in 2013.

Intel, based in Santa Clara, has manufacturing facilities at three sites in the United States, including New Mexico, as well as in Ireland and Israel. The company is also building its first production facility in China. Intel, which is vying with Samsung Electronics Co. to be the industry’s biggest spender on production, budgeted $5.2 billion for plants and equipment in 2010.

“Today’s announcement reflects the next tranche of the continued advancement of Moore’s Law and a further commitment to invest in the future of Intel and America,” Intel President and CEO Paul Otellini said.

Moore’s Law is Intel co-founder Gordon Moore‘s famous prediction in 1965 that computer chips’ performance will roughly double every two years as manufacturing technology improves and more transistors, or tiny on/off switches, can be crammed onto the chips. The other side of that prediction is that prices will also fall.

Semiconductor companies are locked in a race to shrink the line widths on the circuits that give computer chips their function. Intel’s budget will be spent on so-called 22-nanometer production. A nanometer is one billionth of a meter. Reducing line widths lowers costs and makes products more capable. Modern semiconductor plants cost hundreds of millions of dollars to construct and billions to equip with machinery. They run 24 hours a day, year-round.

Intel rose 2 cents to $19.21 in Nasdaq Stock Market trading. The shares have declined 5.8 percent this year.

The company’s microprocessors run more than 80 percent of the world’s personal computers. Rival Samsung is the biggest maker of memory chips. The two companies compete in the market for memory used in mobile products such as Apple’s iPad and iPhone.

Intel ended the third quarter with more than $20 billion in cash and short-term investments after generating $3.5 billion in cash flow from operations. That cash total doesn’t include the two pending acquisitions it announced in the period – the $7.68 billion purchase of McAfee Inc. and the $1.4 billion deal for Infineon Technologies AG‘s wireless-chip unit.”

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Article from GigaOm.

Fundamental changes in networking and computing are shaking things up in the enterprise IT world. These changes, combined with ubiquitous broadband and new devices like smart phones and tablets, are leading to new business models, new services and shifts in corporate behavior. It’s also leading to a lot of M&A activity as companies jockey for position before the ongoing technology shift settles into the new status quo.

A report out today from Deutsche Bank lays out some of the shifts and names what it believes are the 11 most likely acquirers, calling those companies the Big 11. The bank’s Big 11 are: Apple, Cisco, Dell, EMC, Google, HP, IBM, Intel, Microsoft, Oracle and Qualcomm. They were selected because of their size, their cash balance and their willingness to make strategic acquisitions. The report talks about which companies each might acquire, but it also gives a wealth of data on the companies which comprise the Big 11 that any startup looking for a buyer on the software and infrastructure side might find worthwhile.

In addition to the information on buyers, the report goes on to explain why many deals today are valued at multiples that are so much higher than the potential revenue of the company (HP’s buy of 3PAR is a prime example of this trend):

On the other hand, the multiples paid for these companies go counter to typical expectations for valuations. All of these deals were priced at considerable premiums to forward estimates. The implication is that the larger companies believed that there were strategic benefits far in excess of the smaller companies’ near-term prospects. A common criticism of acquisitions holds that management teams of large companies try to buy revenue and earnings to offset far lower growth rates in their core businesses. This does not appear to be the case with these deals. We see this as confirming our thesis that large companies are looking to buy technology and product synergies. In all of these deals, we see larger companies either significantly building up weak product lines or looking for the ability to bundle new features into existing equipment.

Some of the 50 targets mentioned are:

  • Salesforce.com (s crm )
  • VMware
  • Adobe
  • Citrix
  • Research In Motion
  • Riverbed Technology
  • SAP
  • Atheros
  • Skyworks
  • f5 (sffiv)
  • Juniper

Each are on the list of potential candidates for different reasons associated with improving the quality and speed of delivering web-based applications and services from a cloud-based infrastructure to a multitude of devices. However, there are plenty of startups and private companies that are pioneering new technologies in these areas which are also fair game. The report doesn’t go into the content side of the business where companies like Google, Facebook, Apple, Disney, etc. are fighting for features and services to expand their reach and platforms.

Since we’re living through an enormous period of potential disruption thanks to technology, the giants in the industry find themselves playing a game of musical chairs as they seek the best seat at the table for the future. Startups and larger public companies that will help those giants fill out their offerings before the music stops are under the microscope and perhaps at the top of their valuations.”

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