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Posts Tagged ‘silicon valley’

Here is an excellent article I found at NY Times blog section.

“For a group accustomed to looking outward for the next big thing, Silicon Valley’s venture capitalists are getting very introspective these days, The New York Times’s Claire Cain Miller writes.

Much of the soul searching along Sand Hill Road in Menlo Park, where many of the venture capitalists have offices, is leading to the same conclusion: venture capital needs to go back to basics. The biggest names in the industry are concerned about low returns and are blaming several factors: funds that have grown too large, the M.B.A.’s that have invaded the industry and older partners who have lost touch with what is new in technology.

“I personally believe and I think the evidence proves that the venture industry has gotten too big, the funds have gotten too big,” said Alan Patricof, an investor for 40 years, who backed America Online and Apple, at a recent venture investing conference in San Francisco. “Our biggest challenge today for venture capital is to think smaller.”

Mr. Patricof is part of a growing chorus of voices calling for the amount of money in venture funds to shrink drastically to levels last seen two decades ago. His firm, Greycroft Partners, is taking a retro approach with a $75 million fund that makes smaller investments.

Many in the industry predict that a third to a half of the 882 active venture capital firms could disappear, if only because poor returns will force underperformers to shut down. It is already happening: Investment in venture capital funds shrank to $4.3 billion in the first quarter, from $7.1 billion in the same quarter a year ago.

There will be “a ton of venture capitalists who disappear over the next 18 to 20 months, and it’s going to be painful for a while,” Bryan Roberts, a partner at Venrock, told The Times. “But the best thing that could have happened to V.C. is this economic crisis, because it’s lowering the flow of capital into these funds.”

Read the full article here.

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A giant investment dilemma is coming into play as of late – the market, Silicon Valley especially, is running short on IPO candidates. The jackpots including Intel, Apple, Netscape, eBay, Yahoo and Google are all history by now. With few candidates, the payoffs look smaller and the real problem shows – where will the money come from for new investments?

Here are a good analysis taken from Silicon Valley.com.

“So how might a Facebook or LinkedIn IPO perform when the time is right? Or what will Skype’s IPO look like, assuming eBay proceeds with plans to spin it out in 2010 as a separate company?

“We’re seeing a rebuilding and stabilization of the IPO market, so that Silicon Valley firms will be able to participate.” said Jeff Grabow of the accounting firm Ernst & Young’s San Jose office, which issued its quarterly U.S. IPO Pipeline report Tuesday.”

It continues…

“The IPO is vital to the valley’s economy, promising a potential jackpot for VCs that compensates for investments that don’t pan out. Not so long ago, the valley seemed to pop out an IPO every few weeks. But since early 2008, the pipeline has been more like a sieve. The venture industry is now pushing for tax breaks and regulatory relief from Washington to revive the market.

Ernst & Young’s report offers a snapshot of the situation. Privately held companies get in the IPO pipeline by filing S-1 forms with the Securities and Exchange Commission that signal their plans to sell stock on public markets. There were 57 companies in the pipeline Dec. 31, but only 44 on March 30.

In the first quarter, 16 companies exited the pipeline — only two made Wall Street debuts. Among the others, 10 registrations had surpassed the one-year expiration for inclusion in the study, which suggests they may just be biding their time in a chilly market. Three registrants withdrew their S-1s, and one postponed. Three companies filed S-1s, including San Francisco-based OpenTable, the online restaurant reservation service.

When OpenTable filed in January, it seemed like wishful thinking in such a dreadful economy. Because SEC rules require “a quiet period” for companies that file for IPO, I couldn’t ask CEO Jeff Jordan why OpenTable was making such a move. How good could the restaurant business be with credit crunched and people pinching pennies?”

Read the full article here.

Other covering the issue: Techmeme, TechSheep, Congoo

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Fundraising by U.S. venture capital firms declined 21.4 percent in 2008, a new report has found, driven down by a sharp decline in the fourth quarter as the global financial crisis throttled the industry that bankrolls much of Silicon Valley’s innovation.

The report, issued Monday by the National Venture Capital Association and Thomson Reuters, found that $27.9 billion was raised in 211 funds in 2008, compared with $35.5 billion in 247 funds in 2007. Fundraising in the fourth quarter totaled $3.37 billion, down more than $5 billion from the previous quarter and nearly $8.3 billion less than the amount raised in the fourth quarter of 2007.

The news was by no means unexpected. VCs and their limited partner investors — pension funds, university endowments and other large financial institutions — have all embraced a more conservative strategy in the uncertain economy. Industry analysts expect the pace of fundraising and deal-making to remain relatively slow through at least the first half of 2009.

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The Valley’s latest extreme sport is feigning nonchalance about the economy. Living in an earthquake zone requires developing a habit of stoic flinchiness. The economy’s seismic shifts are slower, but just as unpredictable; all one can do it shrug one’s shoulders, stock the emergency kit, and keep on living. “We’re watching the economy crater all around us, but … well, we’re not really seeing any direct impact,” writes Tech Ticker anchor Sarah Lacy. “Making things more uneasy for those here in 2000: We didn’t cause this one.” Lacy’s right to reach back in history for examples, but her timing is off. This is 1998 all over again.

Read the whole article here

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