Feeds:
Posts
Comments

gp_nl_header-1
The Advantages of a “Date-Certain” Mergers and Acquisition Process Over a “Standard Mergers and Acquisitions Process” – Gerbsman Partners
Every venture capital investor hopes that all of his investments will succeed. The reality is that a large percentage of all venture investments must be shut down. In extreme cases, such a shut down will take the form of a formal bankruptcy or an assignment for the benefit of creditors. In most cases, however, the investment falls into the category of “living dead”, i.e. companies that are not complete failures but that are not self-sustaining and whose prospects do not justify continued investment. Almost never do investors shut down such a “living dead” company quickly.

Most hope against hope that things will change. Once reality sets in, most investors hire an investment banker to sell such a company through a standard mergers and acquisition process – seldom with good results. Often, such a process requires some four to six months, burns up all the remaining cash in the company and leads to a formal bankruptcy or assignment for the benefit of creditors. In many instances, there are a complete lack of bidders, despite the existence of real value in the company being sold.

The first reason for this sad result is a fundamental misunderstanding of buyer psychology. In general, buyers act quickly and pay the highest price only when forced to by competitive pressure. The highest probability buyers are those who are already familiar with the company being sold, i.e. competitors, existing investors, customers and vendors. Such buyers either already know of the company’s weakness or quickly understand it as soon as they see the seller’s financials. Once the sales process starts, the seller is very much a wasting asset both financially and organizationally. Potential buyers quickly divide the company’s burn rate into its existing cash balance to see how much time it has left. Employees, customers and vendors grow nervous and begin to disengage. Unless compelled to act, potential buyers simply draw out the process and either submit a low-ball offer when the company is out of cash or try to pick up key employees and customers at no cost when the company shuts down.

The second reason for this sad result is a misunderstanding of the psychology and methods of investment bankers. Most investment bankers do best at selling “hot” companies, i.e. where the company’s value is perceived by buyers to be increasing quickly over time and where there are multiple bidders. They tend to be most motivated and work hardest in such situations because the transaction sizes (i.e. commissions) tend to be large, because the publicity brings in more assignments and because such situations are more simply more fun. They also tend to be most effective in maximizing value in such situations, as they are good at using time to their advantage, pitting multiple buyers against each other and setting very high expectations. In a situation where “time is not your friend”, the actions of a standard investment banker frequently make a bad situation far worse. First, since transaction sizes tend to be much smaller, an investment banker will assign his “B” team to the deal and will only have such team spend enough time on the deal to see if it can be closed easily. Second, playing out the process works against the seller. Third, trying to pit multiple buyers against each other and setting unrealistically high valuation expectations tends to drive away potential buyers, who often know far more about the real situation of the seller than does the investment banker.

“Date Certain M&A Process” – The solution in a situation where “time is not your friend” is a “Date Certain Mergers and Acquisitions Process”. With a “Date Certain M&A Process”, the company’s board of directors hires a crisis management/ private investment banking firm (“advisor”) to wind down business operations in an orderly fashion and maximize value of the IP and tangible assets. The advisor works with the board and corporate management to:

  1.  Focus on the control, preservation and forecasting of CASH.
  2. Develop a strategy/action plan and presentation to maximize value of the assets. Including drafting sales materials, preparing information due diligence “war-room”, assembling a list of all possible interested buyers for the IP and assets of the company and identifying and retaining key employees on a go-forward basis.
  3. Stabilize and provide leadership, motivation and morale to all employees
  4. Communicate with the Board of Directors, senior management, senior lender, creditors, vendors and all stakeholders in interest.

The company’s attorney prepares very simple “as is, where is” asset-sale documents. (“as is, where is- no reps or warranties” agreements is very important as the board of directors, officers and investors typically do not want any additional exposure on the deal). The advisor then contacts and follows-up systematically with all potentially interested parties (to include customers, competitors, strategic partners, vendors and a proprietary distribution list of equity investors) and coordinates their interactions with company personnel, including arranging on-site visits. Typical terms for a date certain M&A asset sale include no representations and warranties, a sales date typically four weeks from the point that sale materials are ready for distribution (based on available CASH), a significant cash deposit in the $200,000 range to bid and a strong preference for cash consideration and the ability to close the deal in 7 business days.

Date Certain M&A terms can be varied to suit needs unique to a given situation or corporation. For example, the board of directors may choose not to accept any bid or to allow parties to re-bid if there are multiple competitive bids and/or to accept an early bid. The typical workflow timeline, from hiring an advisor to transaction close and receipt of consideration is five to six weeks, although such timing may be extended if circumstances warrant. Once the consideration is received, the restructuring/insolvency attorney then distributes the consideration to creditors and shareholders (if there is sufficient consideration to satisfy creditors) and takes all necessary steps to wind down the remaining corporate shell, typically with the CFO, including issuing W-2 and 1099 forms, filing final tax returns, shutting down a 401K program and dissolving the corporation etc.

The advantages of this approach include the following:

Speed – The entire process for a “Date certain M&A Process” can be concluded in 5 to 6 weeks. Creditors and investors receive their money quickly. The negative public relations impact on investors and board members of a drawn-out process is eliminated. If circumstances require, this timeline can be reduced to as little as two weeks, although a highly abbreviated response time will often impact the final value received during the asset auction.

Reduced Cash Requirements – Given the “Date Certain M&A Process” compressed turnaround time, there is a significantly reduced requirement for investors to provide cash to support the company during such a process.

Value Maximized – A company in wind-down mode is a rapidly depreciating asset, with management, technical team, customer and creditor relations increasingly strained by fear, uncertainty and doubt. A quick process minimizes this strain and preserves enterprise value. In addition, the fact that an auction will occur on a specified date usually brings all truly interested and qualified parties to the table and quickly flushes out the tire-kickers. In our experience, this process tends to maximize the final value received.

Cost – Advisor fees consist of a retainer plus 10% or an agreed percentage of the sale proceeds. Legal fees are also minimized by the extremely simple deal terms. Fees, therefore, do not consume the entire value received for corporate assets.

Control – At all times, the board of directors retains complete control over the process. For example, the board of directors can modify the auction terms or even discontinue the auction at any point, thus preserving all options for as long as possible.

Public Relations – As the sale process is private, there is no public disclosure. Once closed, the transaction can be portrayed as a sale of the company with all sales terms kept confidential. Thus, for investors, the company can be listed in their portfolio as sold, not as having gone out of business.

Clean Exit – Once the auction is closed and the consideration is received and distributed, the advisor takes all remaining steps to effect an orderly shut-down of the remaining corporate entity. To this end the insolvency counsel then takes the lead on all orderly shutdown items.

About Gerbsman Partners

Gerbsman Partners focuses on maximizing enterprise value for stakeholders and shareholders in under-performing, under-capitalized and under-valued companies and their Intellectual Property. Since 2001, Gerbsman Partners has been involved in maximizing value for 96 Technology, Medical Device, Mobile, Life Science, Cyber Security, Fuel Cell, Digital Marketing and Solar companies and their Intellectual Property and has restructured/terminated over $810 million of real estate executory contracts and equipment lease/sub-debt obligations. Since inception, Gerbsman Partners has been involved in over $2.3 billion of financings, restructurings and M&A transactions.

Gerbsman Partners has offices and strategic alliances in Boston, New York, Washington, DC, McLean, VA, San Francisco, Orange County, Europe and Israel.

GERBSMAN PARTNERS
Phone: +1.415.456.0628, Cell: +1 415 505 4991
Email: steve@gerbsmanpartners.com
Web: www.gerbsmanpartners.com
BLOG of Intellectual Capital: blog.gerbsmanpartners.com

8 reasons why Google’s Pixel is better than the iPhone

pixel and iphoneAntonio Villas-Boas/Business Insider

I’ve been using Google’s Pixel XL smartphone for a few weeks, and it’s been highlighting the iPhone’s glaringly lacking key features.You should note that everything here is subjective. The iPhone has great features that the Pixel doesn’t have, and the Apple ecosystem is in a league of its own.

But damn the Pixel is good.

You should also note that I’m comparing the Pixel XL experience with my iPhone 6s and not the iPhone 7 series. That’s because I have more experience with the 6s Plus, as it’s been my phone for the last 9 months. On top of that, the iPhone 6s Plus isn’t that much different, as a whole, than the iPhone 7. The performance between both phones is still comparable, and the 7’s camera upgrades aren’t as important as some of the Pixel’s more functional features.

Check out what I think makes the Pixel a better phone than the iPhone:

The Pixel is lighter.

The Pixel is lighter.

Antonio Villas-Boas/Business Insider

My iPhone 6s Plus’ weight (192 grams) never bothered me until I picked up the Google Pixel XL (168 grams). The iPhone 7 Plus is slightly lighter than the 6s Plus at 188 grams, but only by 4 grams, so I’d still consider the 7 heavy compared to the Pixel.

The Pixel’s lighter weight has no ill effect on its reliability, and it’s easier to manage in your hands.

The Pixel’s screen is stunning.

The Pixel's screen is stunning.

Antonio Villas-Boas/Business Insider

Above, the Pixel XL and iPhone 6s Plus are showing the same photo on full brightness (taken with the Pixel, by the way). The iPhone’s LCD screen is nice, but the colors aren’t as rich, and the contrast isn’t as pronounced as on the Pixel’s AMOLED display.

The Pixel’s design is more utilitarian than it is beautiful, but its sharper AMOLED screen outshines the iPhone’s Retina display.

The iPhone 7 Plus has a 1080p screen that’s fine and sharp enough, but the Pixel’s 1440p screen is sharper.

More importantly, the Pixel’s AMOLED screen makes everything it displays look better than on the iPhone’s LCD display. Pictures, videos, and apps pop with inky blacks and vibrant (but not oversaturated) colors on the Pixel, which makes for a more premium and modern look overall.

The Pixel has a clever way to add grip.

The Pixel has a clever way to add grip.

Antonio Villas-Boas/Business Insider

I don’t like cases, but I have to use one for my iPhone. As nice as the iPhone’s metal back and edges are, they don’t offer any grip, and I’ve dropped and dinged my iPhone a couple times as a result.

The glass inlay on the Pixel’s back doesn’t look particularly nice (it looks better on the white model), but it’s actually a great grip for your index finger, which makes the Pixel feel more secure in your hands as you hold it.

Fast charging.

Fast charging.

SuperSaf TV/YouTube

Above, SuperSaf TV, a tech YouTube channel, tested the charging times of the Pixel XL, iPhone 7 Plus, and Galaxy S7 Edge with the chargers included in each phone’s packaging. After two hours of charging, the Pixel XL is nearly 100 percent charged while the iPhone 7 Plus is dragging its feet at 72 percent. Meanwhile, the Galaxy S7 wiped the floor with the other two, having charged to 100 percent after an amazing one hour, 29 minutes.

Fast charging is actually a huge deal. The Pixel’s USB-C fast charging is faster than the iPhone’s comparatively slow charging, and it’s one of the harder things to adjust to when I switch back to the iPhone.

I can choose to make the Pixel work faster.

 

I can adjust Android to make it feel faster than iOS by cutting down, or removing altogether, the animations when I open apps and swipe between screens.

iOS, on other hand, won’t let me touch its animations.

Pixel has better battery life, thanks to Android.

Android’s Doze feature is exceptionally effective. It does a fantastic job of reducing the Pixel’s power consumption when I’m not using it compared to iOS on my iPhone.

The Pixel is slightly smaller, but has the same size screen.

The Pixel is slightly smaller, but has the same size screen.

Antonio Villas-Boas/Business Insider

The difference is slight, but it’s there and noticeable on a device you hold and use multiple times a day.

The iPhone is in the lower end in terms of screen-to-bezel ratio (67.7 percent) compared to the Pixel XL (71.2 percent).

I prefer Android overall.

I prefer Android overall.

Antonio Villas-Boas/Business Insider

I simply get along better with Android than I do with iOS.

Apple still hasn’t figured out how to show me notifications in iOS as well as Android does. They’re easier to manage from the Android lock screen, where I can clear notifications away with one swipe compared to iOS’ swipe-and-tap to clear. I can also pull down on the notifications to peek at more details compared to iOS, too, which doesn’t show me very much.

Notifications also manage themselves better in Android. For example, when I open a new email or Hangouts conversation on my computer, Android will automatically clear those notifications on the Pixel, whereas the notification remains on my iPhone until I manually clear them.

It’s also impossible in iOS to swipe up the control panel for things like changing the brightness when the on-screen keyboard is on. On Android, I can easily swipe down from the top of the screen to get access to the most important settings from any app, whether the keyboard is on or off.

The universal back-button that simply brings you back to the last screen or page you were on is incredibly useful, as it’s always in the same placeOn iOS, the back button for apps and screens can differ from app to app.

There’s also the usual “I can hide my apps in the app drawer and put them wherever I want on the home screen” customization argument, which has been a classic Android argument since its release.

Finally, for those who use voice-activated assistant, Google’s Assistant has proven to be far more advanced than Siri, too.

Here are the most popular Bay Area unicorns to work for, ranked by job searches

The Bay Area is still a prime destination for top tech talent — but one of its biggest draws remains the region’s marquee-name “unicorn” companies, new jobs data suggests.

Data on job searches from employment search site Indeed.com show that Bay Area tech unicorns are a huge draw for workers looking to make a move up the ladder locally. Crunching searches in the U.S. from 2014 through October 2016, Indeed calculated each U.S. tech unicorn’s share of total job searches in the country on a monthly basis.

The fact that some of these companies (known as unicorns because they are still privately held despite having a valuation of at least $1 billion) wasn’t surprising to the author of the report.

“The tech unicorns have captured the popular imagination as being superstar companies and they are sort of the poster children of the tech industry,” Indeed Economist Daniel Culbertson told the Business Times.

The Indeed data also showed that job searches corresponded closely with how well a company appears to be doing. Thus, searches for companies that appear to be less popular or faltering saw less interest, while “hot” companies saw an uptick.

“Pinterest and Vice Media have not had as a high profile recently and job seeker activity is often closely connected to how well-known a company is at a given time and how much hype they are generating,” Culbertson said. That type of buzz has made sought-after companies like Uber and Airbnb perennial favorites with local job seekers, and has even sparked interest in unicorns in Southern California.

“Uber is far and above more popular with job seekers than the other companies because the company employs so many as drivers. Job seekers searching for Uber are looking for both corporate and driving jobs,” Culbertson said. “Then between Elon Musk’s public profile and the idea of commercial space travel, SpaceX has built a lot of notoriety. And if we look at how much Snapchat has grown over the past year, we know that it has been in the news much more.”

Check out our graphic above for info on just how popular each local unicorn is with job seekers.

Get ready for the supercycle — there could be ‘unprecedented’ demand for the iPhone 8

tim cook Maddie ZieglerMarcio Jose Sanchez/AP

There may be “unprecedented replacement demand” for the iPhones Apple is planning to launch in the second half of 2017, KGI Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo wrote in a note to clients seen by Business Insider.

Kuo believes that Apple could ship between 90 million and 110 million iPhones in the second half of 2017.

Apple may even end up shipping more iPhones than the 113 million it sold in the second half of 2014, driven by the iPhone 6.

Kuo says Apple’s suppliers — which sell the company components like screens, lenses, and chips — are setting “ramp-up targets” at over 120 million devices, and they may be able to ramp up production to supply 150 million devices if demand is strong.

Apple is expected to launch three redesigned devices in fall 2017: two updates to the current iPhone 7 and iPhone 7 Plus with glass cases and wireless charging, and an all-new high-end model with a new kind of screen that promises lower power consumption and better picture quality.

All three models are expected to sell well.

According to Kuo:

  • “The OLED model may trigger replacement demand among high-end users given its completely all-new-design form factor and notably superior specs in comparison to the TFT-LCD models.”
  • “The new 4.7-inch iPhone, featuring glass casing and wireless charging, looks well positioned to tap replacement demand at the entry level.”

“In other words, ramp-up for [the second half of 2017] pull-in may exceed the previous peak for iPhone 6, and hit a historical high,” Kuo wrote.

The ‘powder keg’ supercycle

powder kegGetty

The possibility that the upcoming iPhone could tap into a large base of people who are waiting to upgrade has been floated by several analysts before as a rationale for being bullish on Apple.

If Apple can deliver a device that is meaningfully different from the iPhone 6, iPhone 6S, or iPhone 7, there could be an explosion of sales worldwide. Kuo is predicting three new meaningfully different iPhone models based on factory sources.

On Tuesday, UBS analyst Steven Milunovich reiterated that long Apple investors should be optimistic about the next iPhone cycle because Apple may not beat estimates for the next few quarters.

“The March and June quarters could have downside risk, but it might not matter if investors remain optimistic about 2018,” Milunovich wrote. “Many investors are already looking to F18, where high retention rates and an aging installed base could drive significant upgrades.”

19 things in tech we’re thankful for this year

TurkeyGobble! Gobble!REUTERS/Brian Snyder

Ah, Thanksgiving.

Turkey. Stuffing. Arguing over fake news stories with your crazy uncle.

What’s not to love?

Thanksgiving is a time for reflection, so the Business Insider tech reporting team likes to look back at all the products, services, and other tech gizmos we’re thankful for each year.

Keep reading to see our picks.

View As: One Page Slides

Steve Kovach, senior correspondent: Hey Siri, OK Google, and Alexa have changed the way I interact with a lot of my gadgets. These “wake commands” make it easy for me to get information or perform simple tasks on my phone or Amazon Echo.

Steve Kovach, senior correspondent: Hey Siri, OK Google, and Alexa have changed the way I interact with a lot of my gadgets. These "wake commands" make it easy for me to get information or perform simple tasks on my phone or Amazon Echo.

Amazon

Kovach: I’m also thankful for Amazon Prime. It’s tough to find time to shop, and I buy everything on Amazon from cat food to toilet paper. It more than pays for itself every year.

Kovach: I'm also thankful for Amazon Prime. It's tough to find time to shop, and I buy everything on Amazon from cat food to toilet paper. It more than pays for itself every year.

Rafi Letzter/Tech Insider

Rob Price, reporter: My Amazon Kindle. While I love reading physical books, the Kindle is an incredibly useful tool, and I’ve got more use from it than any other gadget. After six years, hundreds of books, and thousands of miles, mine finally gave up this year and I can’t wait to get another.

Rob Price, reporter: My Amazon Kindle. While I love reading physical books, the Kindle is an incredibly useful tool, and I've got more use from it than any other gadget. After six years, hundreds of books, and thousands of miles, mine finally gave up this year and I can't wait to get another.

Amazon

Kif Leswing, reporter: I’m thankful for iMessage and the fact that you can send them from your Mac. It’s pretty much the main way I keep in touch with friends and family, which are what I’m REALLY thankful for.

Kif Leswing, reporter: I'm thankful for iMessage and the fact that you can send them from your Mac. It's pretty much the main way I keep in touch with friends and family, which are what I'm REALLY thankful for.

Screenshot/Tech Insider

Jim Edwards, editor in chief of Business Insider UK: I’m thankful for Nuzzel, an app that gets rid of all the garbage on Twitter and saves only the best bits in the form of a constantly updated, super-relevant news source.

Jim Edwards, editor in chief of Business Insider UK: I'm thankful for Nuzzel, an app that gets rid of all the garbage on Twitter and saves only the best bits in the form of a constantly updated, super-relevant news source.

iTunes

Jim Edwards: I’m also thankful for the Reddit mobile app. You’re never bored if you have access to Reddit.

Jim Edwards: I'm also thankful for the Reddit mobile app. You're never bored if you have access to Reddit.

Reuters

Antonio Villas-Boas, reporter: I’m thankful for the devices that turned my old house into a smart house. I have a smart security system so I don’t have to wonder if I locked up after I leave, a smart thermostat, and a video doorbell.

Antonio Villas-Boas, reporter: I'm thankful for the devices that turned my old house into a smart house. I have a smart security system so I don't have to wonder if I locked up after I leave, a smart thermostat, and a video doorbell.

A shot from Antonio’s video doorbell.Screenshot from Vivint app

Julie Bort, editor: I’m thankful for Google Maps. I’m one of those people without a sense of direction and from traveling internationally to finding a new restaurant in my town, I couldn’t do it without this app.

Julie Bort, editor: I'm thankful for Google Maps. I'm one of those people without a sense of direction and from traveling internationally to finding a new restaurant in my town, I couldn't do it without this app.

Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

Julie Bort: I’m also thankful for MyFitnessPal. It’s not a perfect app, but it has made calorie counting and exercise tracking so much easier. I’m now using it with my friends to stay motivated during the dark of winter, when all we want to do is sleep and eat sweets.

Julie Bort: I'm also thankful for MyFitnessPal. It's not a perfect app, but it has made calorie counting and exercise tracking so much easier. I'm now using it with my friends to stay motivated during the dark of winter, when all we want to do is sleep and eat sweets.

Business Insider’s Julie Bort is an avid cyclist. Here she is with Lance Armstrong.Julie Bort

Avery Hartmans, reporter: I’m thankful for the VSCO app, which lets me quickly and easily make sophisticated edits to photos on my phone.

Avery Hartmans, reporter: I'm thankful for the VSCO app, which lets me quickly and easily make sophisticated edits to photos on my phone.

App Store

Avery Hartmans: I’m also thankful for the integration of Google services like Maps, Gmail, Photos, and Calendar. I love being able to pull up directions to my next meeting by clicking the address in my calendar, or quickly back up all my pictures so I can access them anywhere.

Avery Hartmans: I'm also thankful for the integration of Google services like Maps, Gmail, Photos, and Calendar. I love being able to pull up directions to my next meeting by clicking the address in my calendar, or quickly back up all my pictures so I can access them anywhere.

Google

Matt Rosoff, executive editor: I’m thankful for the Eero wireless router, which is the first WiFi system that was as easy to set up as promised and has blanketed my house in fast, reliable WiFi. It’s the best tech purchase I’ve made in a long time.

Matt Rosoff, executive editor: I'm thankful for the Eero wireless router, which is the first WiFi system that was as easy to set up as promised and has blanketed my house in fast, reliable WiFi. It's the best tech purchase I've made in a long time.

Antonio Villas-Boas/Business Insider

Matt Rosoff: I’m thankful for Slack. It lets our tech reporting team collaborate, gossip, and even joke around, which is super important since we’re collaborating across the country. I love the freewheeling nature of our Slack chats.

Matt Rosoff: I'm thankful for Slack. It lets our tech reporting team collaborate, gossip, and even joke around, which is super important since we're collaborating across the country. I love the freewheeling nature of our Slack chats.

Slack

Steven Tweedie, deputy editor: I’m thankful for my Hue lighting system at home, which lets me customize the warmth and color of all my lights (I hate the sterile glow of most bulbs). I can also set things up so everything turns on when I walk in the door, and it also plugs into my iPhone’s widgets and Siri so I don’t have to worry about light switches. If you’re a fan of uplighting, go with the Hue Lightstrips (pictured below) instead of the traditional bulbs.

Steven Tweedie, deputy editor: I'm thankful for my Hue lighting system at home, which lets me customize the warmth and color of all my lights (I hate the sterile glow of most bulbs). I can also set things up so everything turns on when I walk in the door, and it also plugs into my iPhone's widgets and Siri so I don't have to worry about light switches. If you're a fan of uplighting, go with the Hue Lightstrips (pictured below) instead of the traditional bulbs.

Steven Tweedie

Alexei Oreskovic, deputy editor: LinkedIn! It makes our jobs as reporters so much easier when we need to find sources.

Alexei Oreskovic: I’m also thankful for the algorithm-based elevator at our WeWork office in San Francisco. It doesn’t let you push a button for your floor and forces you to wait for whichever elevator its mysterious brain deems to be in your interest.

Alexei Oreskovic: I'm also thankful for the algorithm-based elevator at our WeWork office in San Francisco. It doesn't let you push a button for your floor and forces you to wait for whichever elevator its mysterious brain deems to be in your interest.

Melia Robinson/Business Insider

Lori Janjigian, intern: I’m thankful for the Kindle app on my iPad and Amazon’s selection of ebooks. It makes my commute to work so much easier to have a whole book at my fingertips.

Lori Janjigian, intern: I'm thankful for the Kindle app on my iPad and Amazon's selection of ebooks. It makes my commute to work so much easier to have a whole book at my fingertips.

iTunes

Matt Weinberger, reporter: I’m thankful for Twitter. Despite its many, many flaws it’s still been a fabulous tool for discussion, learning, and different perspectives. Boy howdy, do they have a lot of work to do though.

Matt Weinberger, reporter: I'm thankful for Twitter. Despite its many, many flaws it's still been a fabulous tool for discussion, learning, and different perspectives. Boy howdy, do they have a lot of work to do though.

Thomson Reuters

Nathan McAlone, editor: I’m thankful for the travel app Hopper, which tells me the optimal economic time to book my flights so I can see my family across the country in California without going bankrupt.

Nathan McAlone, editor: I'm thankful for the travel app Hopper, which tells me the optimal economic time to book my flights so I can see my family across the country in California without going bankrupt.